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The plain fact is that Medicare accounts for a fifth of the nation’s total healthcare spending. Physicians who turn their backs on that are endangering the long-run financial health of their own practices. And, sooner or later, the government will have to fix the Medicare reimbursement formula.

The importance of primary care in restructuring our healthcare system is widely recognized. As a current article in Health Affairs points out, avoidable hospital admissions for asthma and diabetes complications in the U.S. are twice the average for advanced countries, and that isn’t because the United States has a greater prevalence of these conditions.

Major changes in the healthcare delivery system are coming, and they will affect every physician. The question is whether those changes will have the effect we all want or whether they will lead to unintended consequences that we don’t want.